With Argentina’s squad intact and in good form, how long will the subject of Brazilian revenge fester. While historically Brazil have lost more than they have won at home, can this match be a revenge success?
The hosts have not called back all their starters for this World Qualifying Tournament. In their last match against Chile, if it wasn’t for luck, they would have been the ones to lose.The possession rate was 40%, the shots on target and the threat of attack were all far worse than Chile.
I think the main problem with this is the Brazilian midfield. Very few of our familiar names returned for this World Qualifying Tournament, due to clubs not releasing them.
But because of their dominance in the South American zone, it also has the capital to make rotations. Two youngsters from the Lyon midfield, Guimarães and Paqueta, started the last game. It was clear from the performance that the players were not very adaptable and played mediocre. Only Casemiro was consistent and the entire Brazilian midfield was out of control.
I don’t think this midfield control will be enough against Argentina in this match. The team will have to rely on Neymar’s play, the stability of the defence and the ability to take chances. In fact, the pressure is not too much on them, so relax and maybe play better.
The visitors, Argentina, will obviously have to take this much more seriously. Messi, Lautaro and Di Maria are all back with the national team. Argentina’s attacking play in the last match was very good, and the midfield was well balanced in attack and defense.
However, the main problem for Argentina is the defense.Argentina’s defensive line was the only thing worse than Brazil. Otamendi is not very stable and Pezzella is too distinctive. Only the wing-back Marcos I think played well.
Against Brazil, Argentina has the advantage in midfield and up front, so the ability of the backline to limit the Neymar-led Brazilian attack will be the deciding factor in this game.
In comparison to Brazil, Argentina obviously need the points more, 3 points to qualify safely and 1 point to keep the advantage. Clearly Argentina are very motivated.
Before this game, there was a lot of talk of Brazil seeking revenge, and looking at the historical record of the two teams, it is clearly the home team that is more attractive. But I don’t think Brazil are taking out a very tough attitude at the moment, with relatively little pressure due to the large lead.
As for Argentina, if they lose this game to Brazil, then the first place qualification is locked up for Brazil. This is something Argentina would not like to see. And although Argentina have defensive problems at the moment, their form and morale are in good shape.
To sum up, I am still optimistic that Argentina will win today.
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