On November 10, 2021 at 00:30 GMT, Gremio will face Fluminense at home in the 31st round of the Brasileirao Serie A.
Gremio finished 6th in the league last season and gained the qualification for the Copa Libertadores play-offs, while this season has been unbearable.
After 29 rounds of league play, they have 7 wins, 5 draws and 17 losses, ranking 2nd from the bottom of the league with 26 points, and are currently 9 points away from the safety zone.
Although there is still a theoretical chance of avoiding relegation, I am afraid it will not be easy to do so with the current state of the team.
From the data side, Gremio has scored 25 goals and conceded 38 goals in 29 rounds of league, which is a very bad performance in attack and defense.
Gremio recently suffered 4 consecutive defeats. In the last round of away match against Internazionale Brasileiro, the team dominated on the field, with 60% of possession, 5 out of 9 shots on goal.However, after the opponent scored, the team was unable to come back and finally lost 0-1, and defender Cortes also suffered a red card and will be banned from this match.
It is worth noting that Gremio’s home performance this season is not good either, with only 4 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in 14 league matches at home, ranking 18th in the league.
Fluminense finished 5th in the league last season and also qualified for the Copa Libertadores play-offs, while this season’s results have declined, with 11 wins, 9 draws and 10 losses after 30 rounds of league play, temporarily ranking 8th in the league with 42 points.
In terms of statistics, Fluminense has scored 29 goals and conceded 31 goals in 30 rounds of league play, with an average of less than 1 goal per game.
In the last league match against Sporting Recife, Fluminense dominated on the field, with 62% possession, 3 shots on goal out of 21, nearly 3 times as many as the opponent.
The game was stalemated for most of the time until the extra time when Blas scored for the team and finally took down the opponent 1-0, the victory put the team back on the winning track.
In the past meetings between the two teams, Gremio has won 7, drew 1 and lost 2 in the last 10 matches against Fluminense, which gives them an advantage in the past.
Recently, Gremio has suffered 4 consecutive defeats and is in the bottom 2 of the league, so the road to avoid relegation is tough. Fluminense’s recent form is rather unstable, and even a win in the last round was very struggle.
Combined with the recent status of both sides, Fluminense still has a chance to go home with points in this match.
Prediction：Fluminense win or draw @1.65
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